Joe Biden bounces back in new NH poll; Warren drops

In a potentially significant shakeup a month before the first-in-the-nation primary, Joe Biden has jumped to a small lead over his Democratic rivals, while Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren is slumping to third place, a new Franklin Pierce University-Boston Herald-NBC10Boston poll shows.

The former vice president tops the field in New Hampshire with 26%, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is in second place with 22%, and Warren trails in third with 18%, according to the poll of 434 likely Democratic primary voters in the Granite State. South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg polls at just 7% of the vote and former New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg and Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard are at 4% each.

Twelve percent of the poll respondents said they were undecided heading into the last month of the campaign before the Feb. 11 primary.

The Democratic poll has a margin of error of 4.7%.

Warren appears to have suffered the most significant drop in support over the last several months.

In an October Franklin Pierce-Herald poll, she led the field with 25%, but voters now appear to be dropping off to other candidates or the undecided column.

Other Democratic candidates in the field are still struggling to gain traction. Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar gets just 3% support, while billionaire businessman Tom Steyer and Andrew Yang are at 2%. Former Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick and Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet did not get any support at all in the new poll.

On the Republican side, President Trump maintains a huge lead over his opponents, with 79% of the vote. Former Massachusetts Gov. William F. Weld and former Illinois Rep. Joe Walsh get 4% each.

Trump’s approval rating among Republicans has dropped since October, and now sits at 76%, according to the poll.

Fifty-eight percent of all likely voters in the Granite State disapproved of Trump’s job performance while 41% approved.

If Trump is matched against a generic Democrat, he only gets 39% of the vote, compared to 46% for the Democrat.

The new Frankliin Pierce-Herald-NBC10Boston poll was conducted Jan. 8-12, just ahead of the next Democratic debate on Tuesday night.

Seventy-seven percent of the poll respondents said they definitely or probably would watch the debate, raising the stakes for the highly anticipated event.

The new Franklin Pierce-Herald-NBC10Boston poll comes just three weeks before the Iowa caucuses, the first contest of the primary season. In Iowa, the most recent poll shows Sanders with a small lead over the rest of the pack.

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